Paper Trading Portfolio

→ This morning's note

This is a paper-trading experiment: $50,000 in simulated capital, no real brokerage, no real money on the line. Every weekday morning before the market opens, an AI reviews the prior day's closing prices across a maintained watchlist — deep coverage across the AI stack (semiconductors, hyperscalers, security, SaaS) plus a broad non-tech base — and decides whatever trades — if any — the data actually supports. Everything below is real market data and real reasoning, just play money behind it.

Meta, Amazon, Nvidia, Google, OpenAI, SpaceX — the new FAANG, and where the name Mangos comes from. SpaceX went public in 2026 (NASDAQ: SPCX); OpenAI hasn't yet — and neither has Anthropic, which just missed the acronym but belongs in the conversation.

$50,881.34
+$881.34 (+1.76%)
Starting Capital
$50,000.00
Cash
$17,134.10
Invested
$33,747.24
Open Positions
16

Value Over Time — Weekly P/L

Holdings

SymbolSharesAvg CostLastMarket ValueP/L
OKTA 15.3233 $163.15 $206.64 $3,166.41 +$666.41 (+26.66%)
ALAB 8.2440 $303.25 $360.51 $2,972.04 +$472.05 (+18.88%)
TSM 5.7515 $434.67 $451.15 $2,594.79 +$94.78 (+3.79%)
ANET 12.2868 $203.47 $205.70 $2,527.39 +$27.40 (+1.10%)
CRDO 12.7571 $195.97 $195.97 $2,500.01 +$0.00 (+0.00%)
KLAC 13.3078 $187.86 $187.11 $2,490.02 -$9.98 (-0.40%)
NVDA 10.9948 $227.38 $224.58 $2,469.21 -$30.79 (-1.23%)
MU 2.0573 $1,020.75 $1,080.53 $2,222.97 +$122.98 (+5.86%)
ESTC 23.5211 $85.03 $91.28 $2,147.01 +$147.01 (+7.35%)
MSFT 3.9572 $505.41 $497.93 $1,970.41 -$29.60 (-1.48%)
XLE 29.6434 $64.77 $62.60 $1,855.68 -$64.33 (-3.35%)
DELL 3.0984 $516.39 $536.02 $1,660.80 +$60.82 (+3.80%)
NEM 12.8447 $122.63 $121.30 $1,558.06 -$17.08 (-1.08%)
SIMO 5.0639 $277.70 $275.10 $1,393.08 -$13.17 (-0.94%)
BE 4.2145 $277.22 $266.65 $1,123.80 -$44.55 (-3.81%)
CRM 4.5989 $258.11 $238.22 $1,095.55 -$91.47 (-7.71%)

Trade Log

DateActionSymbolSharesPriceTotalCash AfterReason
2026-09-25 BUY CRDO 12.7571 $195.97 $2,500.01 $17,134.10 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 30.7%, +53.9% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 70.3 rising off a Sept-1 record Q1 beat, rev +114.7% YoY). Confirmed fresh catalyst - 1.6T optical tech showcase at ECOC 2026 (Sept 21-23) drove a further 16.5% 5-session rally; BofA/Mizuho trimmed PTs to $275/$245 but maintain Buy/Outperform, both still well above the $196 spot.
2026-09-25 SELL DELL 0.7746 $536.02 $415.20 $19,634.11 Trimmed 20% of DELL after UBS cut its 2027 PC outlook citing memory-cost inflation squeezing hardware margins, confirmed by an 8.9% 5-session slide and RSI rolling over from 68.2 to 53.7; still holding the core position since AI-server backlog/guidance remain strong (FY27 rev guide raised to $192B).
2026-09-24 BUY KLAC 13.3078 $187.86 $2,500.00 $19,218.91 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 87.5%, +22.9% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 56.25 just crossed threshold rising sharply from 36.67 five sessions ago). Confirmed fresh catalyst - record revenue/profitability beat guidance on AI and advanced-packaging demand, robust 2026/2027 outlook per multiple September analyst notes, Buy consensus with $233.77 avg PT vs $187.86 spot (~24% upside).
2026-09-24 BUY ANET 12.2868 $203.47 $2,500.00 $21,718.91 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 31.5%, +26.2% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 58.1 rising steadily from 54.62). Confirmed fresh catalyst - added to the S&P 100 at the open on 9/21, +5.7% over the trailing month vs +0.1% for the S&P 500, Strong Buy consensus (31 analysts) with $241.93 avg PT vs $203.47 spot (~19% upside).
2026-09-24 SELL XLE 7.4108 $62.37 $462.21 $24,218.91 Trimmed ~20% of XLE as RSI broke down further (60.19->48.33) on confirmed continued oil weakness: Brent fluctuating around $90-102 after five straight losing sessions, Saudi Arabia prepping to restart East-West pipeline exports bypassing Hormuz, and US-Iran talks progressing toward de-escalation, all easing the geopolitical risk premium that drove the position higher initially.
2026-09-22 BUY NVDA 10.9948 $227.38 $2,500.00 $23,756.70 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar cleanly (ROE 117%, +68.5% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 62.3 rising steadily 5 straight sessions, not a single-day pop). Real catalyst behind the move: Metas new Muse AI agent topping App Store charts reignited AI-compute demand optimism, driving a broad chip-sector rally (PHLX Semi +3%) plus a Trump-Xi state dinner this week fueling AI-trade sentiment. Elite fundamentals at a name we did not already hold.
2026-09-22 SELL XLE 9.2635 $62.46 $578.60 $26,256.70 Trimmed ~20% of XLE as RSI broke down today (54.3->44.6) on a confirmed macro catalyst, not noise: WTI crude fell 5.4% today alone and is down ~10% from its 9/15 peak on hopes of Iran diplomatic progress lowering the geopolitical risk premium. Sector-wide (CVX, XOM both off >2% today), so de-risking the energy sleeve rather than riding a real oil-price headwind.
2026-09-22 SELL CRM 1.1497 $236.42 $271.81 $25,678.10 Trimmed ~20% of CRM as the 5-session RSI slide (71.7->58.4) is now backed by real negative catalysts: a major global Salesforce outage on 9/16 hitting hundreds of instances worldwide, plus Dreamforce-week guidance that maintained but did not raise the FY30 target, disappointing bulls. Position now sits ~8% below avg cost; keeping the bulk since analyst consensus (Buy, $300 PT) and core growth thesis are intact.
2026-09-21 BUY TSM 5.7515 $434.67 $2,500.00 $25,406.29 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 40.0%, +29.5% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 58.1 rising 3 straight sessions off a dip). Aug revenue +53% YoY on AI-chip demand, raised equipment capex plans 1.9x prior estimate, Strong Buy consensus (15/18 analysts) with PTs up to $530 vs $435 spot, still ~14% off its 52wk high.
2026-09-21 BUY ALAB 8.2440 $303.25 $2,499.99 $27,906.29 New $2500 starter: clears growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 25.8%, +58.6% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI just crossed 55 rising 4 of last 5 sessions off a pullback from $320+ highs). Record Q2 rev +104% YoY on AI-fabric demand, Q3 guide implies 40% sequential growth, 19 analysts Buy/0 Sell, $390 avg PT vs $303 spot.
2026-09-17 BUY ESTC 23.5211 $85.03 $2,000.00 $30,406.28 New $2000 starter in ESTC: clears the growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 33.1%, +17.7% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI just crossed 55 and rising 4 straight sessions from 47.76). Average 1y price target was just revised up 32% to $110.86 vs $85.03 spot (~30% upside); noted CTO/CLO insider stock sales this month as a mild caution but not disqualifying against the fundamentals.
2026-09-17 SELL SIMO 1.6880 $241.14 $407.04 $32,406.28 Trimmed ~25% of SIMO as RSI cleanly broke the momentum threshold (55.54->43.36 over 5 sessions) continuing the rollover flagged two nights ago; no fresh company-specific bad news but analysts remain split on rich valuation after the 151% YTD run, and position is now ~13% below avg cost - de-risking further while keeping a residual stake on the still-strong NAND-controller fundamentals.
2026-09-17 SELL NEM 4.2800 $121.76 $521.13 $31,999.24 Trimmed ~25% of NEM as RSI kept cratering (47.96->35.37 over 5 sessions), confirming the breakdown flagged two nights ago; Newmont guidance still points to rising AISC (~$1680/oz in 2026), a real cost headwind, and the position is roughly flat vs avg cost so trimming into weakness rather than riding it further.
2026-09-17 SELL MSFT 0.9893 $490.30 $485.05 $31,478.11 Trimmed ~20% of MSFT one session after opening as RSI rolled over hard (60.23->46.79) on confirmed negative news (M365 users reportedly shifting to Google Workspace amid AI-capex/competitive concerns); keeping the core position since the Azure +43% YoY growth thesis is intact, just de-risking size on the fresh headline.
2026-09-15 BUY MSFT 4.9465 $505.41 $2,500.01 $30,993.06 New $2500 starter in MSFT: clears the growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 34.0%, +19.4% analyst 1y forward EPS growth, RSI 60.2 rising for 4 straight sessions off a 54.4 dip) on a confirmed fresh catalyst - fiscal Q4 beat with Azure +43% YoY crossing $100B annualized revenue drove the recent leg up. Buying on the pullback/re-acceleration off the dip rather than chasing the initial post-earnings spike; Strong Buy consensus, ~$590 PT vs $505 spot (~17% upside).
2026-09-15 SELL SIMO 2.2506 $236.81 $532.96 $33,493.07 Trimmed ~25% of SIMO as RSI rolled over 57.33->48.27 on a -7.57% 5-session pullback, losing the momentum footing it was bought on; no company-specific bad news found, but press is flagging rich valuation (66.6x P/E, 9.3x sales) after a 151% YTD run, consistent with the broader memory-sector selloff hitting MU too. Fundamentals still strong (ROE 31.6%, guiding up to 124% YoY revenue growth) so kept the bulk of the position, just de-risking the size.
2026-09-15 SELL NEM 7.3391 $123.07 $903.22 $32,960.11 Trimmed ~30% of NEM after RSI cratered 62.57->38.13 on a -3.92% 5-session slide, breaking the uptrend; confirmed real fundamental headwinds - gold price retreat plus Newmont guiding to higher unit costs and lower 2026 attributable production (~5.3Moz) from Nevada Gold Mines/Pueblo Viejo transitions. Position was basically flat vs cost, so locking in the trim rather than riding the fundamental deterioration.
2026-09-15 SELL MU 0.8817 $924.03 $814.72 $32,056.89 Trimmed ~30% of MU as RSI kept rolling over (60.3->52.16, below the momentum threshold) on a -9.1% 5-session slide; confirmed real headline risk (DRAM/NAND price-fixing antitrust suit vs Micron/Samsung/SK Hynix plus broad chip-sector selloff) compounding the pricing-moderation crack flagged last run. Keeping a smaller core stake into the 9/30 earnings catalyst given still-elite fundamentals (ROE 66.6%, +112% forward growth).
2026-09-14 SELL MU 0.9797 $975.26 $955.46 $31,242.17 Trimmed ~25% of MU after RSI rolled over from 56.4 to 49.4 and Micron management flagged a meaningful moderation in the rate of DRAM/NAND price increases for fiscal Q4 - the exact pricing-momentum story the position was built on is now showing real cracks. Price has pulled back from a $1027.77 peak (9/9) to $975.26, putting the position slightly below its $1020.75 avg cost; keeping the core stake into the 9/30 earnings catalyst since fundamentals (ROE 66.6%, +112% forward growth) remain excellent.
2026-09-11 SELL DELL 0.9683 $506.62 $490.56 $30,286.71 Trimmed ~20% of DELL after Morgan Stanley double-downgraded on rising memory input costs squeezing server margins; RSI rolled over from 72.7 to 50.82 on todays -5.35% drop, the sharpest single-day move in the portfolio. Demand still supply-constrained per mgmt, so holding the core position, just reducing size into the margin-compression concern.
2026-09-10 BUY MU 1.4595 $1,027.77 $1,500.03 $29,796.15 Added $1500 to MU: screens cleanly on all three factors (ROE 66.6%, +111% forward EPS growth, RSI 64.5 rising) as the DRAM/NAND shortage keeps compounding - sizing up the existing position while momentum confirms the fundamentals.
2026-09-10 BUY SIMO 9.0025 $277.70 $2,499.99 $31,296.18 New $2500 starter in SIMO: clears the growth/quality/momentum bar (ROE 31.6%, +42.5% analyst 1y EPS growth, RSI 62.9 and rising) on real NAND-controller demand strength - Strong Buy consensus, $369.7 PT vs $277.70 spot (~33% upside), fits the same memory-shortage theme as our MU position.
2026-09-10 SELL CRM 2.0000 $244.16 $488.32 $33,796.17 Trimmed ~26% of CRM as RSI rolled over from 71 with a -5.4% 5-day pullback; confirmed via news a genuine software-sector de-rating on slowing growth/AI-monetization doubts, not just noise - reducing exposure, still holding a core stake.
2026-09-10 SELL BE 3.0000 $269.28 $807.84 $33,307.85 Trimmed ~42% of BE after RSI hit 77.8 on the +26% 5-session run; todays -2.86% reversal plus a fresh securities class-action suit (lead-plaintiff deadline 9/28) are the first real cracks - locking in the trade ahead of the 9/21 S&P inclusion event, still net long into it.
2026-09-09 BUY BE 7.2145 $277.22 $2,000.00 $32,500.01 S&P 500 inclusion confirmed for 9/21 (first energy co added since 2022) plus Q2 beat with raised FY guidance and a UBS PT hike to $325 - real fresh catalysts. Sizing small (~4% of portfolio) since stock already +34% in 5 sessions and +214% YTD, most of the good news likely priced in.
2026-09-08 BUY MU 2.4592 $1,016.59 $2,500.00 $34,500.01 Structural NAND/DRAM shortage story: DRAM pricing +57% QoQ and NAND +70% QoQ per Q2 industry data as AI datacenter SSD/DRAM demand outstrips supply post-2023 capacity cuts; MU gaining share (24% DRAM, 15% NAND). Up 18% over the month but far less extended than SNDK (+555% YTD, too stretched to chase now), so buying the more reasonably-priced name in the same real fundamental trend.
2026-09-04 BUY DELL 4.8413 $516.39 $2,500.00 $37,000.01 Record Q2 FY27 beat (rev $47B +58% YoY, EPS $6.34 +273% YoY) with $60.9B in AI server orders booked this quarter and a record $95B backlog; mgmt raised FY rev guide from $167B to $192B and EPS target from $17.90 to $25.50. Fresh catalyst (reported 9/1-9/2), not chasing a stale run.
2026-09-03 BUY OKTA 15.3233 $163.15 $2,500.00 $39,500.01 Q2 FY27 beat (EPS $1.05 vs $0.93 est, rev $805M) with raised FY27 guidance on record non-Q4 bookings and AI-identity demand; still +21% over the trailing week even after the initial post-earnings pop, opening a modest starter position on the fundamental strength.
2026-09-02 BUY XLE 46.3177 $64.77 $3,000.00 $42,000.01 Energy sector broadly up ~13% in a month (XLE and CVX both +13%); using the sector ETF to catch the crude/energy strength without picking a single name.
2026-09-02 BUY CRM 7.7486 $258.11 $1,999.99 $45,000.01 Q2 beat on EPS/revenue with raised FY guidance and AI product traction drove an 18% post-earnings pop; sizing small since stock already up 34% in 20 sessions, most of the good news is priced in.
2026-09-02 BUY NEM 24.4638 $122.63 $3,000.00 $47,000.00 Gold miner up 25% in a month as gold sets records above $4500/oz on haven demand; Newmont posted record FCF and a $6B buyback, real fundamental tailwind not just chart momentum.